Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Winner — The Baddest Speechwriter of All

    26% chance · down 16 pts today

    Yes26%▼ 16kalshiYes37¢39¢ after fees
    No74%▲ 16Polymarket USNo72¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Mar 14, 2027
    Volume
    $4.6K
    24h
    $1.8K
    Liquidity
    $603
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 16¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiPolymarket US
    2. Yes24h
      22¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes26%▼ 16kalshi37¢39¢ after fees
    No74%▲ 16Polymarket US72¢fee unknown

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 26¢: exit costs ~0.96¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 37¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 48¢: Fees unavailable
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If The Baddest Speechwriter of All has won Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Short Film

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, March 14, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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