on 2026-09 1st 2nd or 3rd hottest on record
3rd hottest
on 2026-09 1st 2nd or 3rd hottest on record. Best Yes near 14¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.
Best Yes: 14¢ · Best No: 99¢ · 1 platform
- Polymarket: Yes 14¢ / No 99¢
3rd hottest
$302
$111 24h
1
Cross-platform pricing
Resolves Oct 1, 2026
~17 days left
Culture
Opens on best-price platform
Compare & Trade
1 platform
Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups
Price History
About This Market
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record. Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
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