Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? — Sumy

    2% chance

    Yes2%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes2¢no fee
    No98%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo99¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $93.0K
    24h
    $513
    Liquidity
    $9.7K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢no fee
    No98%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 2¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Sumy (50.92932978689303° N, 34.81107584134934° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/qjS5sPf9YgTRYDii6) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/storie…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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