Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? — Kramatorsk

    6% chance

    Yes6%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes7¢no fee
    No94%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo95¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $314.2K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $4.9K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes6%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢no fee
    No94%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US95¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 7¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kramatorsk (48.73714435420954° N, 37.589106045927714° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/TVY1bAwoc98W2L949) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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