Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...? — March 31, 2027

16% chance

Yes16%

Buy Yes16¢no fee

No84%

Buy No85¢no fee

Resolves: Mar 31, 2027
Volume: $97.5K
24h: $41
Liquidity: $5.8K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes16%—16¢

16¢no fee

No85%—85¢

85¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the train station in Orikhiv (47.559860° N, 35.786219° E), Zaporizhzhia Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) b…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
Resolves: Wed, March 31, 2027