Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...? — March 31, 2027

43% chance

Yes43%

Buy Yes43¢no fee

No57%

Buy No58¢no fee

Resolves: Mar 31, 2027
Volume: $20.3K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $8.2K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes43%—43¢

43¢no fee

No57%—58¢

58¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 43¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.475882° N, 37.082566° E in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?
Resolves: Wed, March 31, 2027