Will Russia capture Bilytske by...? — December 31

86% chance

Yes86%

Buy Yes87¢no fee

No14%

Buy No16¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $64.9K
24h: $1.7K
Liquidity: $5.8K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes86%—87¢

87¢no fee

No15%—16¢

16¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 87¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by t…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026