Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...? — June 30, 2027

8% chance

Yes8%

Buy Yes10¢no fee

No92%

Buy No95¢no fee

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $3.5K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $31.7K

Listed on 1 venue

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Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes8%—10¢

10¢no fee

No93%—95¢

95¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027