Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...? — December 31

    1% chance

    Yes1%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes1¢no fee
    No99%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo99¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $228.4K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $39.4K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    No99%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics