Paloma Valencia

    Volume

    $2.6M

    $45.9K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jun 21, 2026

    ~20 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    97¢
    PredictIt

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $2.6M
    $56.1K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    IPredictIt
    Best No
    Yes
    No
    97¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2825¢50¢75¢100¢

    About This Market

    Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 0¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    IPredictItat 3¢: exit costs ~0.3¢/contract
    Full calculator

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