Marco Rubio announces a presidential run by...? — Before Apr 1, 2027

    15% chance

    Yes15%Polymarket USYes4¢fee unknown
    No85%kalshiNo91¢92¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $12.5K
    24h
    $335
    Liquidity
    $12.8K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      12¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes15%—Polymarket US4¢fee unknown
    No85%—kalshi91¢92¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 4¢: Fees unavailable
    KalshiKalshiat 13¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 16¢: exit costs ~0.54¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Marco Rubio will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nom…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Marco Rubio Announces a Presidential Run?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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