New Taipei Mayor Election Winner — Lee Shu-chuan

35% chance · down 4 pts today

Yes35%▼ 4

Buy Yes35¢37¢ after fees

No65%▲ 4

Buy No66¢68¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 28, 2026
Volume: $219.1K
24h: $5.1K
Liquidity: $102.2K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Deposit $10, get $25

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 4¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes35%▼ 435¢36¢

35¢37¢ after fees

No65%▲ 466¢65¢

66¢68¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 36¢: exit costs ~0.92¢/contract

Kalshiat 35¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Lee Shu-chuan wins the 2026 New Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Resolves: Sat, November 28, 2026