How low will Lake Powell drop? — Below 3,490 ft

<1% chance

Yes<1%

Buy Yes1¢1¢ after fees

No>99%—

Resolves: Apr 15, 2027
Volume: $5.6K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $2.9K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes<1%—1¢

1¢1¢ after fees

No>99%—–—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0.02¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market resolves "Yes" if the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 falls below 3,490.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No." For reference, 3,490 feet is the minimum power pool elevation below which Glen Canyon Dam can no longer generate hydroelectric power. Resolution is determined by the lowest daily elevation recorded at…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How low will Lake Powell drop?
Resolves: Thu, April 15, 2027