How low will Lake Mead drop? — Above 1,038 ft

4% chance

Yes4%

Buy Yes6¢7¢ after fees

No96%

Buy No99¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Apr 15, 2027
Volume: $4.5K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $734

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes4%—6¢

6¢7¢ after fees

No96%—99¢

99¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 6¢: exit costs ~0.3¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market resolves "Yes" if the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 does not fall below 1,038.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No." Resolution is determined by the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to Ma…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How low will Lake Mead drop?
Resolves: Thu, April 15, 2027