Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...? — March 31

4% chance

Yes4%

Buy Yes6¢6¢ after fees

No96%

Buy No97¢97¢ after fees

Resolves: Mar 31, 2027
Volume: $10.3K
24h: $224
Liquidity: $12.1K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes4%—6¢

6¢6¢ after fees

No96%—97¢

97¢97¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 6¢: exit costs ~0.22¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when t…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?
Resolves: Wed, March 31, 2027