israel launch major ground offensive in gaza by

    December 31

    israel launch major ground offensive in gaza by. Best Yes near 11¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 11¢ · Best No: 90¢ · 1 platform

    • Polymarket: Yes 11¢ / No 90¢
    TRADING OPEN

    December 31

    Volume

    $108.1K

    $39 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~109 days left

    Category

    Politics

    11¢CHANCE OF YES11%89%
    Yes
    11¢
    Polymarket
    No
    90¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    11¢
    No
    90¢
    Vol
    $108.1K
    $39 24h
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    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 11¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left109 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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