Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...? — November 30

    9% chance

    Yes9%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes10¢no fee
    No91%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo93¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $16.5K
    24h
    $468
    Liquidity
    $3.2K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes9%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢no fee
    No92%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US93¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 10¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Saudi Arabia. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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