Will Iran target Oman by...? — December 31

98% chance

Yes98%

Buy Yes99¢no fee

No2%

Buy No3¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $17.8K
24h: $2.5K
Liquidity: $7.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes98%—99¢

99¢no fee

No2%—3¢

3¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 99¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Oman through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Oman. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Will Iran target Oman by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026