GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut? — 1450+

    64% chance

    Yes64%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes64¢no fee
    No36%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo37¢no fee
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $17.3K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $2.1K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes64%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US64¢no fee
    No37%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US37¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 64¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Astra model (6.1+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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