GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? — November 16

    28% chance

    Yes28%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes52¢53¢ after fees
    No72%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo97¢97¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Nov 16, 2026
    Volume
    $1.0K
    24h
    $132
    Liquidity
    $1.2K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes28%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US52¢53¢ after fees
    No72%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US97¢97¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astr…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, November 16, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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