on 2026-06 temperature increase (ºc)
1.15–1.19ºC
on 2026-06 temperature increase (ºc). Best Yes near 72¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.
Best Yes: 72¢ · Best No: 37¢ · 1 platform
- Polymarket: Yes 72¢ / No 37¢

1.15–1.19ºC
$459
$268 24h
1
Cross-platform pricing
Resolves Aug 1, 2026
~47 days left
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About This Market
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

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