on 2026-06 temperature increase (ºc)

    1.10–1.14ºC

    on 2026-06 temperature increase (ºc). Best Yes near 26¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 26¢ · Best No: 84¢ · 1 platform

    • Polymarket: Yes 26¢ / No 84¢

    1.10–1.14ºC

    Volume

    $5.8K

    $540 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Aug 1, 2026

    ~47 days left

    Category

    Culture

    26¢CHANCE OF YES24%76%
    Yes
    26¢
    Polymarket
    No
    84¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    26¢
    No
    84¢
    Vol
    $5.8K
    $540 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 26¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Aug 1, 2026
    Time Left47 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryCulture

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