Gemini Krypton: HLE-Diamond Debut? — 65%+

    75% chance

    Yes75%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes75¢76¢ after fees
    No25%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo26¢27¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $7.0K
    24h
    $661
    Liquidity
    $1.1K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes75%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US75¢76¢ after fees
    No26%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US26¢27¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 75¢: exit costs ~0.75¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    On November 9, 2026, OfficeChai reported that Google was internally testing a Gemini 4 checkpoint codenamed "Krypton," described by testers as an upgrade on Gemini 4 Carbon (https://officechai.com/ai/gemini-4-krypton/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Google "Krypton" model added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE-Diamond Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 1…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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