Gemini Krypton: HLE-Diamond Debut? — 55%+

    91% chance

    Yes91%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes92¢92¢ after fees
    No9%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo10¢10¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $4.7K
    24h
    $96
    Liquidity
    $4.3K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes91%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US92¢92¢ after fees
    No9%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 92¢: exit costs ~0.29¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    On November 9, 2026, OfficeChai reported that Google was internally testing a Gemini 4 checkpoint codenamed "Krypton," described by testers as an upgrade on Gemini 4 Carbon (https://officechai.com/ai/gemini-4-krypton/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Google "Krypton" model added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE-Diamond Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 1…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Culture

    All Culture