Gemini Krypton: Text Arena Rank Debut? — Top 5

    86% chance

    Yes86%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes86¢86¢ after fees
    No14%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo15¢16¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $4.2K
    24h
    $986
    Liquidity
    $2.3K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes86%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US86¢86¢ after fees
    No15%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢16¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 86¢: exit costs ~0.48¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    On November 9, 2026, OfficeChai reported that Google was internally testing a Gemini 4 checkpoint codenamed "Krypton," described by testers as an upgrade on Gemini 4 Carbon (https://officechai.com/ai/gemini-4-krypton/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Google "Krypton" model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) holds a rank within the specified top ra…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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