When will Gemini Carbon be released? — December 7–December 13

    <1% chance

    Yes<1%—
    No>99%—
    Resolves
    Dec 13, 2026
    Volume
    $4.5K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $4.8K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    On October 9, 2026, Business Insider reported that Google employees were internally testing a Gemini 4 model codenamed "Carbon," separate from the checkpoint later released as Gemini 4 Argon (https://www.businessinsider.com/google-employees-test-new-gemini-4-model-argon-barium-carbon-2026-10). This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which "Carbon", or a model confirmed to be the same model re…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, December 13, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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