Which bills will become law in 2026?

    Film/TV production expensing

    Which bills will become law in 2026?. Best Yes near 25¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 25¢ · Best No: 82¢ · 2 platforms

    • Polymarket: Yes 64¢ / No 82¢
    • Kalshi: Yes 25¢ / No 76¢

    Film/TV production expensing

    Volume

    $6.7K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~199 days left

    Category

    Politics

    25¢CHANCE OF YES23%77%
    Yes
    25¢
    Kalshi
    No
    82¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    KalshiKalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    25¢
    No
    76¢
    Vol
    $6.6K
    Trade on Kalshi
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    64¢
    No
    82¢
    Vol
    $50
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes H.R. 4787 (119th). Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 64¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 25¢: exit costs ~1.31¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left199 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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