How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19? — <20

    Volume

    $6.7K

    $1.1K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Oct 25, 2026

    ~5 days left

    Category

    Politics

    17¢CHANCE OF YES16%84%
    Yes
    17¢
    Polymarket
    No
    91¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    17¢
    No
    91¢
    Vol
    $6.7K
    $1.1K 24h

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from October 19, 2026, through October 25, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 17¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Oct 25, 2026
    Time Left5 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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