Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? — Avengers: Doomsday Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

    98% chance

    Yes98%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes99¢99¢ after fees
    No2%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo3¢3¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 19, 2026
    Volume
    $28.0K
    24h
    $18
    Liquidity
    $2.6K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes98%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢99¢ after fees
    No2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 99¢: exit costs ~0.07¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. This market will resolve as soon as final (i.e., not studio estimates) figures for both movies' 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are available, and no later than January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. For each m…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sat, December 19, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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