Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___? — December 31, 2028

16% chance

Yes16%

Buy Yes17¢18¢ after fees

No84%

Buy No85¢86¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2028
Volume: $21.2K
24h: $3.2K
Liquidity: $4.3K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes16%—17¢

17¢18¢ after fees

No84%—85¢

85¢86¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 17¢: exit costs ~0.71¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an…

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About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
Resolves: Sun, December 31, 2028