What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026? — $15/MTok or below

    Volume

    $8.8K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days left

    Category

    Culture

    9¢CHANCE OF YES11%89%
    Yes
    9¢
    Kalshi
    No
    72¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    9¢
    No
    98¢
    Vol
    $7.6K
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    74¢
    No
    72¢
    Vol
    $1.2K

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $15 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 9¢: exit costs ~0.57¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 74¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left72 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryCulture

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In