china invade taiwan on 2026-09-30

    Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

    china invade taiwan on 2026-09-30. Best Yes near 2¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 2¢ · Best No: 98¢ · 1 platform

    • Polymarket: Yes 2¢ / No 98¢
    LIVE

    Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

    Volume

    $985.1K

    $23.8K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Sep 30, 2026

    ~99 days left

    Category

    Politics

    2¢CHANCE OF YES2%98%
    Yes
    2¢
    Polymarket
    No
    98¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    2¢
    No
    98¢
    Vol
    $985.1K
    $23.8K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 2¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Sep 30, 2026
    Time Left99 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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