china invade taiwan on 2027-06-30
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
china invade taiwan on 2027-06-30. Best Yes near 8¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.
Best Yes: 8¢ · Best No: 94¢ · 1 platform
- Polymarket: Yes 8¢ / No 94¢

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
$445.1K
$394 24h
1
Cross-platform pricing
Resolves Jul 1, 2027
~290 days left
Politics
Opens on best-price platform
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1 platform
Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups
Price History
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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