china invade taiwan on 2027-06-30

    Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

    china invade taiwan on 2027-06-30. Best Yes near 8¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 8¢ · Best No: 94¢ · 1 platform

    • Polymarket: Yes 8¢ / No 94¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

    Volume

    $445.1K

    $394 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jul 1, 2027

    ~290 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES8%92%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    94¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    8¢
    No
    94¢
    Vol
    $445.1K
    $394 24h

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 8¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jul 1, 2027
    Time Left290 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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