china invade taiwan on 2027-12-31

    Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

    china invade taiwan on 2027-12-31. Best Yes near 15¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 15¢ · Best No: 86¢ · 1 platform

    • Polymarket: Yes 15¢ / No 86¢
    LIVE

    Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

    Volume

    $1.1M

    $5.2K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027

    ~556 days left

    Category

    Politics

    15¢CHANCE OF YES15%85%
    Yes
    15¢
    Polymarket
    No
    86¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    15¢
    No
    86¢
    Vol
    $1.1M
    $5.2K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 15¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2027
    Time Left556 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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