china invade taiwan on 2027-12-31
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
china invade taiwan on 2027-12-31. Best Yes near 12¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.
Best Yes: 12¢ · Best No: 89¢ · 1 platform
- Polymarket: Yes 12¢ / No 89¢

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$3.2M
$477 24h
1
Cross-platform pricing
Resolves Jan 1, 2028
~474 days left
Politics
Opens on best-price platform
Compare & Trade
1 platform
Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups
Price History
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sign in to join the discussion
Sign In