china invade taiwan on 2027-12-31

    Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

    china invade taiwan on 2027-12-31. Best Yes near 12¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 12¢ · Best No: 89¢ · 1 platform

    • Polymarket: Yes 12¢ / No 89¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

    Volume

    $3.2M

    $477 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028

    ~474 days left

    Category

    Politics

    12¢CHANCE OF YES12%88%
    Yes
    12¢
    Polymarket
    No
    89¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    12¢
    No
    89¢
    Vol
    $3.2M
    $477 24h

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 12¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jan 1, 2028
    Time Left474 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In