china invade taiwan on 2026-01-15

    Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

    china invade taiwan on 2026-01-15. Best Yes near 6¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 6¢ · Best No: 94¢ · 1 platform

    • Polymarket: Yes 6¢ / No 94¢
    LIVE

    Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

    Volume

    $36.9M

    $67.8K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~190 days left

    Category

    Politics

    6¢CHANCE OF YES6%94%
    Yes
    6¢
    Polymarket
    No
    94¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    6¢
    No
    94¢
    Vol
    $36.9M
    $67.8K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 6¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left190 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In