china invade taiwan on 2026-01-15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
china invade taiwan on 2026-01-15. Best Yes near 4¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.
Best Yes: 4¢ · Best No: 96¢ · 1 platform
- Polymarket: Yes 4¢ / No 96¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$41.4M
$58.4K 24h
1
Cross-platform pricing
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
~107 days left
Politics
Opens on best-price platform
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1 platform
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Price History
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Details
Opens on best-price platform
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1 platformDeposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups
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