China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

    Above 4.0%

    China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?. Best Yes near 1¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 1¢ · Best No: 13¢ · 2 platforms

    • Kalshi: Yes 98¢ / No 13¢
    • Polymarket: Yes 1¢ / No 100¢

    Above 4.0%

    Volume

    $5.8K

    $5 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jul 16, 2026

    ~31 days left

    Arbitrage

    +86.3¢

    Spread detected

    CHANCE OF YES5%95%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    13¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    1¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $5.7K
    $5 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KalshiKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    98¢
    No
    13¢
    Vol
    $25
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026 is above 4 , then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 98¢: exit costs ~0.14¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator
    Arbitrage: +86.3¢ spread detected

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jul 16, 2026
    Time Left31 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryEconomics

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