China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

    4.0-4.3%

    China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?. Best Yes near 3¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 3¢ · Best No: 9¢ · 2 platforms

    • Polymarket: Yes 3¢ / No 99¢
    • Kalshi: Yes 100¢ / No 9¢

    4.0-4.3%

    Volume

    $7.3K

    $123 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jul 16, 2026

    ~31 days left

    Arbitrage

    +88.1¢

    Spread detected

    CHANCE OF YES24%76%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    3¢
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $7.1K
    $123 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KalshiKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    100¢
    No
    9¢
    Vol
    $159
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 16, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 3¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 100¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator
    Arbitrage: +88.1¢ spread detected

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jul 16, 2026
    Time Left31 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryEconomics

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