"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office — 360m-400m

    26% chance

    Yes26%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes27¢28¢ after fees
    No74%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo75¢76¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 20, 2026
    Volume
    $31.2K
    24h
    $1.5K
    Liquidity
    $18.5K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes26%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US27¢28¢ after fees
    No74%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US75¢76¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 27¢: exit costs ~0.99¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" will gross domestically on its 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20). This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) opening weekend figure is available, and no later than January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box O…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, December 20, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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