AOC announces a presidential run by...? — March 31, 2027

24% chance · up 3 pts today

Yes24%▲ 3

Buy Yes35¢37¢ after fees

No76%▼ 3

Buy No63¢fee unknown

Resolves: Mar 31, 2027
Volume: $6.4K
24h: $1.8K
Liquidity: $2.7K

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

2 signals

Yes24h
▲ 3¢ in 24h
Yes24h
11¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

3 venues

Chance

Best

Yes24%▲ 335¢24¢83¢

35¢37¢ after fees

No76%▼ 373¢80¢63¢

63¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 24¢: exit costs ~0.73¢/contract

Kalshiat 35¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whethe…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Polymarket US

AOC Announces a Presidential Run?

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: AOC announces a presidential run by...?
Resolves: Wed, March 31, 2027