AOC announces a presidential run by...? — Before Jul 1, 2027

59% chance · down 10 pts today

Yes59%▼ 10

Buy Yes59¢61¢ after fees

No41%▲ 10

Buy No40¢fee unknown

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $7.3K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $2.3K

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

2 signals

Yes24h
▼ 10¢ in 24h
Yes24h
20¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

3 venues

Chance

Best

Yes59%▼ 1059¢67¢79¢

59¢61¢ after fees

No41%▲ 1050¢63¢40¢

40¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 59¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Polymarket USat 79¢: Fees unavailable

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whethe…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Polymarket US

AOC Announces a Presidential Run?

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: AOC announces a presidential run by...?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027