Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31? — 1580

57% chance

Yes57%

Buy Yes61¢62¢ after fees

No43%

Buy No46¢47¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $81.0K
24h: $1
Liquidity: $2.0K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes57%—61¢

61¢62¢ after fees

No43%—46¢

46¢47¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 61¢: exit costs ~0.95¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style con…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026