#3 AI Lab end of January? (Style Control On) — Anthropic

    21% chance

    Yes21%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes24¢25¢ after fees
    No79%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo81¢82¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jan 31, 2027
    Volume
    $4.2K
    24h
    $194
    Liquidity
    $2.4K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes21%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US24¢25¢ after fees
    No79%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US81¢82¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 24¢: exit costs ~0.73¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on January 31, 2027, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: S…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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