Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Best Chinese AI Company end of December? — Alibaba

39% chance

Yes39%

Buy Yes41¢42¢ after fees

No61%

Buy No64¢65¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $6.0K
24h: $256
Liquidity: $4.0K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes39%—41¢

41¢42¢ after fees

No62%—64¢

64¢65¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 41¢: exit costs ~0.97¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026