Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? — Hodge Conjecture

    13% chance

    Yes13%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes18¢19¢ after fees
    No87%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo92¢92¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $18.5K
    24h
    $37
    Liquidity
    $717
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes13%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US18¢19¢ after fees
    No87%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US92¢92¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 18¢: exit costs ~0.59¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress to…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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