Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? — Beal's Conjecture

    12% chance

    Yes12%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes15¢16¢ after fees
    No88%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo92¢92¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $2.8K
    24h
    $10
    Liquidity
    $224
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes12%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢16¢ after fees
    No89%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US92¢92¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 15¢: exit costs ~0.51¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress to…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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