How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? — 3

1% chance

Yes1%

Buy Yes2¢2¢ after fees

No99%

Buy No99¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $66.4K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $18.9K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes1%—2¢

2¢2¢ after fees

No99%—99¢

99¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 2¢: exit costs ~0.08¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct qualifying Millennium Prize Problems for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Each qualifying problem is counted once, regardless of how many eligible AI labs announce a solution to it or how many announcements are made. The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture…

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About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026