Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by...? — 3-6 points behind

    6% chance

    Yes6%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes11¢12¢ after fees
    No94%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo99¢99¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $15.0K
    24h
    $8
    Liquidity
    $425
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes6%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US11¢12¢ after fees
    No94%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢99¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 11¢: exit costs ~0.4¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The 2026 Michigan general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. Abdul El-Sayed is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Michigan, and Jocelyn Benson is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Michigan. This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Abdul El-Sayed’s vote share in the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate election falls below Jocelyn Benson’s vote share in the 2026 Michig…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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