CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory — Democrat 5-10%

<1% chance · down 82 pts today

Yes<1%▼ 82

Buy Yes8¢fee unknown

No>99%▲ 82

Buy No93¢fee unknown

Resolves: Nov 3, 2026
Volume: $206
24h: $92
Liquidity: $2.4K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 82¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes<1%▼ 828¢

8¢fee unknown

No>99%▲ 8293¢

93¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarket USat 8¢: Fees unavailable

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

The 2026 CA-49 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate…

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Polymarket US

CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves: Tue, November 3, 2026