How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026? — 1250+

93% chance

Yes93%

Buy Yes95¢95¢ after fees

No7%

Buy No9¢9¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 10, 2027
Volume: $19.9K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $2.5K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes93%—95¢

95¢95¢ after fees

No7%—9¢

9¢9¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 95¢: exit costs ~0.24¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count. As of market creation, the Decemb…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
Resolves: Sun, January 10, 2027