Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? — June 30, 2027

44% chance

Yes44%

Buy Yes44¢no fee

No56%

Buy No57¢no fee

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $25.3K
24h: $23
Liquidity: $23.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes44%—44¢

44¢no fee

No56%—57¢

57¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 44¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Orbán is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention i…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027